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Donald Trump Leads Among Unaffiliated Voters in Latest Civitas Poll

A Civitas poll of North Carolina unaffiliated voters found that Donald Trump leads Hillary Clinton in a head-to-head match up, 38-28.

Civitas President Francis De Luca said, “Unaffiliated voters indicate they are less certain about who they’ll end up voting for compared to this time in 2012. But while a majority of them have not decided on a candidate, it is clear that of the ones that have, they favor Donald Trump over Hillary Clinton and Gary Johnson.”

He continued, “All eyes should be on North Carolina unaffiliated voters, the fastest growing segment of the North Carolina electorate, and our poll shows that while compared to 2012, over half have not decided, those that have decided clearly favor Donald Trump over Hillary Clinton.” He continued, “With that being said, this voting bloc is less than enamored with either candidate of the two major parties.”

The text of this question:

If the election for President were being held today and you had to make a choice, for whom would you vote between…

  • 38%    Donald Trump, the Republican,
  • 28%    Hillary Clinton, the Democrat,
  • 15%    … or Gary Johnson, the Libertarian?
  • 16%    Lean/ Undecided
  • 6%       PROBABLY TRUMP
  • 3%       LEAN TRUMP
  • 1%       LEAN CLINTON
  • 1%       LEAN JOHNSON
  • 10%     HARD UNDECIDED
  • 1%       NAMED OTHER
  • 2%       REFUSED

Full text of all questions can be found here.

Cross tabs can be found here.

The poll surveyed 400 registered, likely voters (33% on cell phones) with a margin of error of +/- 4.90%. This survey was taken August 11-14, 2016.

Civitas conducts the only regular live-caller voting in North Carolina, and we are the only organization offering independent, nonpartisan data on current opinion. In the decade we’ve been conducting them, our polls have provided vital insights on what North Carolina voters truly think of the leaders and issues facing the state and nation.